Critikid Logo

Survivorship Bias

This is based on a true story of airplanes coming back from missions during World War II. People wanted to add armor to the planes to make them safer.

At first, they thought about putting extra armor where the bullet holes were. However, a statistician pointed out that the bullet holes on the planes that returned were actually where planes could survive being hit. The planes that didn't come back, which they couldn't see, were likely hit in different spots that led to total destruction. The smart decision was to put extra armor in the areas where the returning planes did not have bullet holes in order to protect them from total destruction.

Share: Facebook X

More Puzzles

Courses

Fallacy Detectors Part 1

Develop the skills to tackle logical fallacies through a series of 10 science-fiction videos with activities. Recommended for ages 8 and up.

US$15

A Statistical Odyssey

Learn about common statistical misconceptions with an interactive space adventure. Recommended for ages 12 and up.

US$10

Symbolic Logic for Teens Part 1

Learn how to make sense of complicated arguments with 14 video lessons and activities. Recommended for ages 13 and up.

US$15

Worksheets

Symbolic Logic Worksheets icon

Symbolic Logic Worksheets

Worksheets covering the basics of symbolic logic for children ages 12 and up.

US$5

Elementary School Worksheets and Lesson Plans icon

Elementary School Worksheets and Lesson Plans

These lesson plans and worksheets teach students in grades 2-5 about superstitions, different perspectives, facts and opinions, the false dilemma fallacy, and probability.

US$10

Middle School Worksheets and Lesson Plans icon

Middle School Worksheets and Lesson Plans

These lesson plans and worksheets teach students in grades 5-8 about false memories, confirmation bias, Occam's razor, the strawman fallacy, and pareidolia.

US$10

High School Worksheets and Lesson Plans icon

High School Worksheets and Lesson Plans

These lesson plans and worksheets teach students in grades 8-12 about critical thinking, the appeal to nature fallacy, correlation versus causation, the placebo effect, and weasel words.

US$10

Statistical Shenanigans Worksheets and Lesson Plans icon

Statistical Shenanigans Worksheets and Lesson Plans

These lesson plans and worksheets teach students in grades 9 and up the statistical principles they need to analyze data rationally.

US$10